UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer Predictions

Jack Hermansson (11) vs. Joe Pyfer (UNR)

An interesting matchup for the Middleweight division!

Hailing from Sweden, ranked Middleweight Hermansson (23-8-0), is looking to get back in the win column after his last fight ended in a climactic finish loss to last week’s main event headliner Roman Dolidze. On the opposing side, Pyfer (12-2-0) of the United States is coming off of a dominant win over Abdul Razak Alhassan by submission in Round 2 and is riding a nice 7 fight win streak.

This is an interesting matchup as both are of similar height and reach at 6’1″ , 77.5″ for Jack and  6’2″, 75.0″ for Joe. At the same time, Hermansson has an 8 year age difference with Pyfer at 35 and 27. In my own opinion, Hermansson will most likely take this fight via decision. He has fought the whos-who of the division, even if he has some losses. Some of them include a split decision loss to Sean Strickland, a wrestling loss to Khamzat Chimaev, and wins over Kelvin Gastelum and Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza.

Pyfer on the other hand, has a good win streak going but I believe his competition doesn’t stack up to that of Hermansson. Not to say that he doesn’t have a good resume, its just that having wins over the likes of Gerald Meerschaert (which Jack also has) and Eryk Anders doesn’t compare.

I’m taking Hermansson to win by decision, outpointing Pyfer. He may possibly win inside the distance, if so, it will most likely by by submission. Pyfer does like to go to the ground and has been submitted in one of his two losses. I would still lean decision though.

Pick: Hermansson (Decision: 70%, Submission: 30%)

Dan Ige (UNR) vs. Andre Fili (UNR)

Dan “50K” Ige (17-7-0) is taking on Andre “Touchy” Fili (23-10-0) in the co-main event battle for the best nickname.

Ige is coming off a decision loss to Bryce Mitchell (16-3-0), nothing to be ashamed of as Bryce is a fantastic grappler and has only been defeated by solid competition. Fili on the opposite side won his last bout via TKO in the first round against Lucas Almeida (14-3-0).

Both of these guys are very tough competitors. I do heavily favor Ige to take this one by decision though, as he has proven to be a very rough out and Fili was recently outworked by Nathaniel Wood (20-6-0) for a unanimous decision loss back at UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura.

I’m taking Dan “50K” Ige to win this by decision. I think he will outwork Fili and continuously attack his legs and look to counter strike. Even with a 4 inch height disadvantage, Ige has always been a very skilled striker, even against lankier opponents. Fili is a crafty striker and he will definitely try to get Ige out of there, but I believe the veteran will have what it takes to win this one. For my degenerate take, Ige may get Fili out of there with a TKO, but as I said before but are very tough. So I doubt it and would lean decision.

Pick: Ige (Decision: 90%, TKO: 10%)

Brad Tavares (UNR) vs. Gregory Rodrigues (UNR)

A banger Middleweight matchup!

Tavares (20-9-0) is coming off a decision win over the ghost of Chris Weidman (15-7-0) and one fight before being finished by Bruno Silva (23-10-0) via strikes. Rodrigues (14-5-0) just stopped Denis Tiuliulin via TKO in round 1 back in August of 2023.

This is a tough fight for me to call as I think both guys have the tools to beat the other. I either see Tavares outpointing Rodrigues to a decision or Rodrigues running through him similar to how Shahbazyan did years ago in 2019. A few things that worry me for Tavares are that he is 36 years old compared to his opponent’s age of 31. He is also two inches shorter and has a one inch reach disadvantage. I also don’t see either of these two wanting to go to the ground and Rodrigues is very powerful.

On the other hand, Tavares has much better names on his record and even took the champion Dricus Du Plessis to a decision. I still believe that Rodrigues probably has a better change of knocking him out in the first two rounds though. Tavares can win this fight but with all of the reasons listed above against him, I have to lean the other way slightly.

Pick: Rodrigues (TKO: 60%), Tavares (Decision: 40%)

Robert Bryczek (UNR) vs. Ihor Potieria (UNR)

Can the replacement make a statement?

Bryczek (17-5-0) was scheduled to fight Albert Duraev (16-5-0) originally but was removed from the bout and replaced with Potieria (20-5-0). Before this, he was scheduled to face Jacob Malkoun (7-3-0) until that was canceled as well. The streaking Bryczek is coming in riding a 5 fight win streak against competitors in the OKTAGON, MMA Attack, and Fight Night Exclusive promotions. All of these wins coming by knockout in the first round.

Potieria on the other hand is coming off of a two fight skid, with KO losses to Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-0) and Carlos Ulberg (9-1-0). This fight almost has a 100% chance of ending within the distance. Both of these guys do not like to go to decision and have a chance to get rocked or put the other one out.

Some interesting things to note are that Potieria normally fights at Light Heavyweight but is coming down to Middleweight for this bout. He also holds a 3 inch height advance of 6″3 to Bryczek’s 6″0 even. There is also a 5 year age difference as Potieria is 27 while Bryczek is 33. I am personally going to take Potieria by TKO to win this fight. Although Bryczek has a great chance, I am leaning the the other way, but not by much. In fact, I would call this a 50/50 matchup.

Pick: Potieria (TKO: 50%), Bryczek (TKO: 50%), Pickem Inside the Distance